分析师 Young

⚡️ Monday for $BTC might be driven by Michael Saylor again He posted another update related to the Bitcoin Tracker, captioned "Big Dot Energy" Those familiar with his moves know that every time Strategy releases such news, the next day they disclose the latest Bitcoin accumulation data If accumulation exceeds expectations → sentiment rallies, breaking above the key 79500 level, halting the decline If accumulation falls short of expectations → selling pressure risks surge sharply, continuing to break below 76600

Next week's macro calendar is packed, with several key points that must be closely monitored: 1️⃣ Wednesday (after US Eastern trading hours, corresponding to Wednesday evening in China): Nvidia will release its earnings report. As a "weathervane" for the AI sector, the revenue guidance for its data center business will directly determine the short-term sentiment of the US tech sector. This is one of the core highlights of the week. 2️⃣ Thursday 02:00 (Beijing Time): The Federal Reserve will release the minutes of its monetary policy meeting. This is also the last set of minutes under Powell's tenure. The statements regarding inflation and interest rate paths will impact short-term fluctuations in the bond market and the US dollar, making it a central focus for the market. 3️⃣ Other noteworthy points: Tuesday 20:15: US ADP employment change weekly data. The overall market theme still revolves around the two main logics of "interest rates + AI." Nvidia's earnings report and the Fed's meeting minutes will be key in determining short-term volatility

Have you noticed that recently all the voices are bearish on the crypto space? They keep saying the crypto market is doomed and that AI is the only way forward. But is that really the truth? Let's take a look at the portfolio data released by the media about the Trump administration, which contains 3 core signals that could change the industry's direction: 1. The barriers between traditional finance and politics are being completely broken down Trump himself holds at least $51 million in crypto assets, over 20% of senior officials are involved in holding crypto, with total disclosed holdings of at least $193 million. When the highest levels of U.S. power have their interests deeply tied to the crypto market, crypto assets are no longer marginal speculative products but have entered the core allocation list of mainstream power and capital. 2. The crypto industry is shifting from passive regulation to participating in rule-making Several tech and crypto industry figures have joined the Trump administration, pushing the SEC to pause lawsuits, establish Bitcoin strategic reserves, and legislate stablecoins. This means the industry is no longer the passive party being hit but is directly involved in crafting regulatory rules. The era of harsh regulation is ending, and the era of compliant support is arriving. 3. Market confidence is fully boosted, and compliant sector assets are gaining the strongest narrative The collective holdings by the power elite serve as an "official endorsement" to the market. This top-down alignment of interests will directly strengthen market confidence, especially for $BTC and compliant sector assets, which will receive unprecedented narrative support. When power and capital bet together, Bitcoin's ceiling is continuously being raised. There is every reason to believe that in the next cycle, we will see Bitcoin reach at least $200,000

Before: The largest bank in Italy only held crypto products related to $BTC Now: In Q1, they doubled their positions and for the first time added $ETH and $XRP to their holdings list, even making a large purchase of $26 million worth of XRP ETFs Interestingly, on the other hand, they cut their Solana-related positions by 99% and completely liquidated mining-related assets On one side, they are increasing positions in compliant, strong narrative leaders, while on the other, cutting high-volatility speculative assets. The institution's "hedging + betting on the main theme" strategy is worth noting!

Countdown to the World Cup starting in June, market nodes are getting closer The overall market weakened and remained under pressure this week, but $CHZ bucked the trend yesterday with an independent move, rising slightly by about 5%, showing strong resistance to decline However, the overall strength was not impressive, with no explosive volume Today, took profits and sold most of the position around 0.0481 The thematic expectation remains, but market momentum is average, coupled with a weak overall market, so no rush to speculate in the short term Will continue to observe for now, waiting for clearer trend signals

$BTC Weekend Market Review｜Next Monday Market Forecast Over the weekend, Bitcoin continuously tested the 77650 support level, with two retests failing to hold the market steady. From the market structure perspective: the short-term support around 77800 is completely unable to hold, current bullish support is very weak, and the market is clearly bearish. Personal forecast: a rapid downward trend is highly likely tonight or next Monday. The key support below is around 76600; the market may quickly fall to this level, followed by a short-term rebound and recovery. Overall rhythm: support has failed, next week the trend will likely continue downward, waiting for a rebound and support around the 76600 area

Big Brother Maji's contract operations are really hard to understand… Just liquidated a $ETH long position, then immediately came back with 25x leverage to fight again In a bear market, you could clearly wait for a lower position, so why insist on going all in now? Do you really have that many joy beans to spend endlessly?

$BTC Intraday View Update 5/16: The decline indicated on Thursday occurred as expected. After breaking below 80,000, the price failed to reclaim the 80,000 level throughout yesterday, with the market continuing to weaken. Spot ETF funds are also under pressure, with continuous net outflows. Additionally, mining company Bitdeer newly mined 198.3 $BTC and sold them all, maintaining zero holdings, showing obvious selling pressure. Currently, the price is oscillating around 78,800, very close to the previously updated first target support at 78,500. If this level is effectively broken, the daily EMA52 (around 76,630) is the next key support level, where a technical rebound is likely to occur. Maintain a short-term bearish bias, waiting for confirmation of support signals. Be cautious trading over the weekend due to insufficient liquidity!

$ONDO has directly brought Nasdaq liquidity onto the Chain?! As a leader in the RWA sector, this move directly breaks down the barriers between traditional finance and the on-chain market. The liquidity and pricing efficiency of tokenized stocks have achieved a qualitative leap, with slippage on large trades nearly zero. Currently, the hype is at its peak, and everyone is betting on RWA becoming the main funding theme in the next cycle, but don’t forget to pay attention to TVL concentration and on-chain trading risks. Multi-Chain deployment is underway. If the synergy between Ethereum + BNB Chain continues to strengthen, the on-chain scale is expected to return to the 20 billion mark by Q2 next year. Join the dollar-cost averaging list and keep supporting DAC

Another DeFi hack incident, this time it's THORChain... $10 million in assets stolen, protocol emergency shutdown, $RUNE dropped 14% straight, Coinone issued a warning to investors, many people panicked directly This time the vulnerability was in the churn process of the vault migration, exposing the old problem of cross-chain security once again. LPs can only wait for the official recovery, $RUNE is very likely to drop further in the short term📉