比特币子棋

From this BTC daily chart, the signals released by the market are very clear. No beating around the bush, here’s the logic: The blue circle marks a long and intense wide-range consolidation zone (roughly between 60k - 73k). #OKX The core action during this phase is high-level turnover and shakeout, cleaning out the weak hands and solidifying the bottom support of this main upward wave. The longer this consolidation lasts, the more momentum the breakout will have. With the pattern breakout, the red arrow draws the currently extremely strong uptrend line. After breaking out of the blue circle’s box, the market has fully entered a bull-dominated one-sided short squeeze rally. Currently, the price is consolidating strongly around 80,600. In this pattern, going with the trend is the only solution. As long as the price does not break below this red uptrend line with volume, all pullbacks can be considered technical corrections. A major trading taboo is frequently trying to "top pick" and short in such a one-sided rising channel. The bottom has been sufficiently built in the early stage, and the current trend is extremely intact. Closely monitor the support strength of the red trend line, maintain a bullish mindset until it breaks, and let profits run.

The recent trend is indeed a bit strange. The US stock market is rising while BTC remains stable at a high level, highly correlated with ETF capital inflows! The overall trend is now completely dominated by institutions, shifting from "retail sentiment-driven" to "institutional allocation-driven." There are fewer sharp drops, more gradual declines or sideways movements, and the trend is steadier but with a slower slope! Compared to previous bull and bear cycles, the gains and losses are smaller, volatility is lower, leaning towards a long bull, slow bull, with extended cycles and smaller corrections. But market rules are eternal and unchanging: after rising too much, a fall will come; after falling too much, a rise will follow. If Q2 gains meet expectations, the Q3 decline will be part of the cleanup. However, it’s unlikely to see the deep corrections of the past. If there’s a chance to touch around 50,000, I believe it’s an excellent opportunity. The second half of the year has the potential to reach that. Be patient and wait; now is the time to accumulate bottom-fishing funds while the market is active!

Although I have been emphasizing the Q2 market trend, the market is indeed ongoing at this stage! But be sure to note, this round of the market is a rebound, not a reversal. Most likely, there will be another drop in the second half of the year. Don’t get carried away when prices rise; when it’s about time to exit, you have to exit! The market is still quiet at this stage, lacking incremental funds, with no foundation for a bull market. The future remains difficult. The current trend is local, rotational, and the momentum is limited. The altcoins that surged strongly in this round will most likely fall back where they rose from! I believe that if BTC performs well this round, it has a chance to sprint to 88,000. More conservatively, it should reach around 85,000, and that’s it. The more it rises afterward, the more cautious you need to be. The market is continuing now, so stay rational, get in early, and when the target price is reached, you have to exit. Sigh, no choice, after suffering losses, courage shrinks…

From the daily chart perspective, BTC has completely broken through the previous months-long wide-range consolidation zone and established a steep and clear upward trendline. The current price is around 80,000, with a very complete bullish structure. Recently, the US stock market has maintained a risk-on sentiment, with the Nasdaq oscillating at high levels, providing a good liquidity spillover environment for the crypto market. #OKX At the same time, on-chain data shows a continuous net inflow of funds overall, and the 80,000 level is transforming from a "resistance" into a strong "consensus support." In the coming week, it is highly likely to maintain a high-level oscillating upward movement along the blue trendline, which is a healthy upward continuation. Strong support below is near the trendline (around 78,500 - 79,000), which is an excellent right-side dip-buying/long entry point; the first target above is in the 83,000 - 85,000 range. In summary, follow the trend and absolutely do not try to guess the top. Hold your spot position tightly, avoid blindly chasing highs with contracts at this level, patiently wait for a pullback to the trendline to stabilize before opening long positions, and cut losses quickly if the trendline is broken.