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#WorldCup2026PredMarkets: $2.37 Billion. 104 Matches. The World Cup Just Became Prediction Market's Biggest Event Ever. The 2026 FIFA World Cup kicked off today. And for the first time in history, it's being traded in real time across regulated US prediction markets at a scale that dwarfs anything the industry has seen before. Kalshi has 424 World Cup markets live. Polymarket has 58. Combined projected trading volume across US prediction markets is $2.37 billion — more than 1.7x the trading activity generated by Super Bowl 60. Half of Americans planning to bet on the World Cup say they'll do it through a prediction market. That's not a niche product anymore. That's mass market. The favorite picture is simple. France leads all markets at roughly 17-18% to win the tournament, narrowly ahead of Spain at 16-17%. The two have been swapping the top spot since April — France took the lead on April 21st and has held it since. England, Brazil, and Germany round out the top five, all in single digits. Today's opener is USA vs Paraguay. Kalshi and Polymarket both have the US at exactly 50% to win, Paraguay at 23-24%, with a draw at 29%. The first World Cup hosted across the US, Canada, and Mexico — with 48 teams for the first time in history — opens on American soil with American odds favoring the home side. For crypto natives, OKX's Beautiful Game campaign is already live — 16.66 BTC prize pool, 104 matches, free to play through July 20. No deposit required. Just predictions. France. Spain. USA at home. 104 games. $2.37 billion says someone knows something. #WorldCup2026PredMarkets